| 1. Identificação | |
| Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Evento (Conference Proceedings) |
| Site | mtc-m16d.sid.inpe.br |
| Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
| Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP7W/36HPESB |
| Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/12.10.11.48 |
| Última Atualização | 2009:12.10.11.48.47 (UTC) administrator |
| Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/12.10.11.48.49 |
| Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2021:03.02.19.18.31 (UTC) administrator |
| Chave Secundária | INPE--PRE/ |
| Chave de Citação | AlvesMaBeJoKaCh:2009:EnClMo |
| Título | Large-scale changes in precipitation and temperature in South America under climate change - ensemble climate model projections and uncertainty assessments  |
| Formato | On-line |
| Ano | 2009 |
| Data de Acesso | 18 maio 2024 |
| Tipo Secundário | PRE CI |
| Número de Arquivos | 1 |
| Tamanho | 189 KiB |
| 2. Contextualização | |
| Autor | 1 Alves, Linconl Muniz 2 Marengo, José Antônio 3 Betts, Richard 4 Jones, Richard 5 Kay, Gillian 6 Chan, Sin Chou |
| Grupo | 1 DOP-CPT-INPE-MCT-BR 2 CST-CST-INPE-MCT-BR 3 4 5 6 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCT-BR |
| Afiliação | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Met Office Hadley Centre 4 Met Office Hadley Centre 5 Met Office Hadley Centre 6 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) |
| Endereço de e-Mail do Autor | 1 lincoln.muniz@gmail.com 2 3 4 5 6 chou@cptec.inpe.br |
| Endereço de e-Mail | deicy@cptec.inpe.br |
| Nome do Evento | International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography, 9. |
| Localização do Evento | Melbourne Australia |
| Data | 9 - 13 Feb |
| Tipo Terciário | Poster |
| Histórico (UTC) | 2009-12-10 11:51:04 :: deicy -> administrator :: 2021-03-02 19:18:31 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2009 |
| 3. Conteúdo e estrutura | |
| É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz |
| Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido |
| Transferível | 1 |
| Tipo do Conteúdo | External Contribution |
| Palavras-Chave | x |
| Resumo | Following the extensive conclusions from the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) Fourth Assessment Report and other reports (including INPEs report 2007 - ww.cptec.inpe.br/mudancas_climaticas) we have credible evidence that the climate is changing across the world. But it is important to note that while the current versions of atmosphereocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) have the ability to simulate well the state of the global climate at the large and continental scales, there are significant variations between these models in future climate projections of precipitation and temperature changes at the regional scale, including those for South America. One of the top priorities for narrowing gaps between current knowledge and policymaking needs is the quantitative assessment of the sensitivity, adaptive capacity and vulnerability of human and natural systems to climate change. Vital for such assessments are reliable estimates of current and future climate variability at the regional scale which can be readily used to assess the sensitivity of these systems to climate change. Often an important requirement for these assessments is for the climate data to be provided at high spatial and temporal resolution, and the main method for providing these data regionally is dynamical downscaling, i.e. output from global climate models is used to drive a high resolution regional climate model. Regional models 1provide improved spatial detail, but in order to improve reliability of projections, it is essential to run multiple realizations, to take uncertainties into account. There has been much effort to quantify the range of uncertainties that are known to exist in global climate model projections and dynamical downscaling allows a detailed exploration of these. Important for the interpretation of any downscaled projections is to assess the regional-scale climate and climate changes in the global projections. This can guide the selection of suitable global models for driving the regional model where the quality of global model control simulations and the identification of global model large-scale projected changes which are considered reliable would be relevant information. As a starting point for this, in the present paper, we present the results of an ensemble simulation of the HadCM3 climate model, where each ensemble member incorporates different but plausible versions of the parameterizations of important physical processes. This is used to assess the potential impacts of climate change on precipitation and temperature over South America and explore the range in projections obtained via the modifications to the model parameterizations. |
| Área | MET |
| Arranjo 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > COCST > Large-scale changes in... |
| Arranjo 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > Large-scale changes in... |
| Arranjo 3 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDOP > Large-scale changes in... |
| Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar |
| Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos |
| Conteúdo da Pasta agreement | não têm arquivos |
| 4. Condições de acesso e uso | |
| URL dos dados | http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP7W/36HPESB |
| URL dos dados zipados | http://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP7W/36HPESB |
| Idioma | en |
| Arquivo Alvo | pdf_branco.pdf |
| Grupo de Usuários | administrator deicy marciana |
| Grupo de Leitores | administrator marciana |
| Visibilidade | shown |
| Permissão de Leitura | allow from all |
| Permissão de Atualização | não transferida |
| 5. Fontes relacionadas | |
| Repositório Espelho | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02.53 |
| Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE |
| Acervo Hospedeiro | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02 |
| 6. Notas | |
| Campos Vazios | archivingpolicy archivist booktitle callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination doi edition editor isbn issn label lineage mark nextedition notes numberofvolumes orcid organization pages parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project publisher publisheraddress resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark serieseditor session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark type url versiontype volume |
| 7. Controle da descrição | |
| e-Mail (login) | marciana |
| atualizar | |